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A Conference Conflagrated into Fucking Huge Ass Flames

January 21, 2007

I should resume a more regular posting schedule this week. I think I have quite a bit to write about now. Like Zelda. I was 3-1 last week, which puts me at 5-3 for the playoffs. As for this weekend, both of them look like they’re pretty much toss-ups, with lines of 2 and 3, so…

CHICAGO (-2) over New Orleans
I really have no logic for this pick. The Saints’ offense is really, really good while the Bears D is solid, but only solid in a poor conference and an even weaker division. The Bears’ offense, on the other hand, doesn’t really have a scary runningback and while there are some good WRs, the quarterback has been awful. And the Saints’ D isn’t great, but certainly isn’t bad, either. Still, I’m gonna take the Colbert approach and throw out logic and go with my gut. Also, I’d much rather have the Pats playing the Bears than the Saints.

New England (+3) over INDIANAPOLIS
At first, I was going to pick the Colts, simply because I only picked their game correctly 3 times this season, including the playoffs. So if I reversed jinxed them, I could at least ensure a Pats victory. But I also noticed that each of those 3 times, I picked against the Colts. So while I have an 83% chance of failure when I pick a Colts game, and while I lost more than I won when picking against them, the statistic still stands that when I get a pick on a Colts game right, there’s a 100% chance it was because it was against the Colts. And if you think all this quasi-statistical analysis is because I really have no idea who’s going to win this game, you’re absolutely correct. I think the Pats will win, almost primarily because of Manning. Not because of some psychological, I-Can’t-Beat-the-Patriots-Oh-My-God-I’m-Choking thing, but more because he’s just looked awful this postseason, and even in the last third of the season. The last time these teams played, Brady was horrible. He couldn’t get anything done. Which was wierd, since Belichick kept having him throw instead of continuing to run the ball, which seemed to have been working. Anyway, I think the Pats do have a chance. I don’t expect it to be a blowout either way, though.

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